NCAA Tournament March Madness

#159 Fresno St

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Fresno State’s résumé is defined by a few useful wins and a cluster of damaging defeats that together explain its current standing. A convincing neutral-site win over Pepperdine and a true road victory at San Jose State show the team can win outside its building, and a handful of tight nonconference victories demonstrate late-game toughness, but those positives are offset by ugly road blowouts at Arkansas and at San Diego State and by lost opportunities against Utah State at home and a narrow defeat to Nevada that leave no signature résumé moment. Early setbacks to UC San Diego and Cal State Bakersfield add little value, so the remaining conference slate is decisive: tangible road or neutral wins against recognizable league opponents and clean results at home are the clear path to improving the profile, while more bad losses away or at home will simply reinforce the current evaluation.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/5SC Upstate292L67-66
11/8Long Beach St249W82-62
11/12UC San Diego106L78-73
11/15Utah Valley99W75-74
11/18SF Austin107W80-78
11/21New Orleans238W85-76
11/26(N)Pepperdine279W76-53
11/30CS Bakersfield296L76-71
12/6@Arkansas30L82-58
12/10@CS Northridge215L89-87
12/20@UNLV148L84-72
12/30Utah St20L72-63
1/3Nevada78L66-65
1/6@San Jose St225W70-55
1/10@San Diego St52L71-52
1/13Colorado St8537%
1/17Wyoming9240%
1/21@New Mexico5111%
1/24Grand Canyon8838%
1/31@Air Force34480%
2/3UNLV14859%
2/7@Nevada7817%
2/10@Utah St204%
2/14Air Force34492%
2/17@Wyoming9221%
2/21New Mexico5125%
2/24@Colorado St8519%
2/28Boise St7935%
3/3San Jose St22574%
3/7@Grand Canyon8820%