NCAA Tournament March Madness

#132 Fresno St

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Fresno State will likely need to win the Mountain West tournament to punch its ticket because the resume blends a few impressive peaks with too many damaging valleys. The neutral-site dominance of Pepperdine and solid home wins over Colorado State and Air Force plus a gritty road victory at San Jose State show the team can defend and close games, but those signatures are drowned out by ugly road defeats at Arkansas, San Diego State, New Mexico and Utah State and jarring home losses to Grand Canyon and Cal State Bakersfield that a committee will view as blemishes. Offensive inconsistency away from home and a scarcity of marquee wins against top opponents leave little margin for error, so a conference championship run is the practical way to erase the bad results and replace them with the kind of wins that secure an NCAA bid.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/5SC Upstate302L67-66
11/8Long Beach St231W82-62
11/12UC San Diego118L78-73
11/15Utah Valley90W75-74
11/18SF Austin91W80-78
11/21New Orleans193W85-76
11/26(N)Pepperdine264W76-53
11/30CS Bakersfield326L76-71
12/6@Arkansas15L82-58
12/10@CS Northridge175L89-87
12/20@UNLV108L84-72
12/30Utah St30L72-63
1/3Nevada75L66-65
1/6@San Jose St225W70-55
1/10@San Diego St48L71-52
1/13Colorado St88W79-69
1/17Wyoming98W63-60
1/21@New Mexico50L83-74
1/24Grand Canyon61L68-57
1/31@Air Force345W79-62
2/3UNLV108W98-96
2/7@Nevada75L69-59
2/10@Utah St30L91-78
2/14Air Force345W93-63
2/17@Wyoming98L92-82
2/21New Mexico50L80-78
2/24@Colorado St88L74-70
2/28Boise St62L69-53
3/3San Jose St225W82-68
3/7@Grand Canyon61L85-60
3/11(N)Colorado St88L67-63